The Democratic race looks but all over here– with Bernie Sanders virtually sure to win. But, in the Republican race, we could be in for another New Hampshire surprise.
Sanders is now beating Hillary Clinton 57 percent to 40 percent, widening his lead over her, after he picked up two points overnight and she lost one. Undecided is down to two percent, a drop of two since Saturday.
The tracking poll shows Sanders solidifying, and widening, his lead, stopping Hillary Clinton’s burst of momentum. And it no longer looks like she can catch him.
"Here’s how strong Bernie Sanders is: He leads by 11 percent among Democrats, 25 percent among independents, and his massive support of nine in 10 under-40 voters continues," said Dr. Joshua Dyck, pollster at UMass Lowell.
Among the Republicans, there was also very little movement overnight. Donald Trump stays in the top spot, with 36 percent, after picking up a point since Saturday. No change for Marco Rubio and his 14 percent keeps him in second place. Ted Cruz, at 13 percent, maintained his support, remaining in third. Jeb Bush gained no points but his 10 percent now puts him fourth because John Kasich dropped a percentage point, to nine, and fell back to fifth.
There were also some changes in the bottom tier. Chris Christie is at 4 percent, tied with Carly Fiorina, after she gained a point. Ben Carson stayed steady at three and there are still a good number of undecided voters left–7 percent, two percent less than Saturday.
The tracking poll shows Trump maintaining his big lead and increasing the distance between himself and the rest of the field. It’s now a battle for second and third place. Marco Rubio, Ted Cruz, Jeb Bush, and John Kasich all have a shot.
"Trump has the strongest commitment among voters and Rubio, among leading candidates, has the weakest commitment, and this could be good news for Governors John Kasich and Jeb Bush," said Dr. Dyck.
Monday morning, our final tracking poll. Then, on Tuesday, New Hampshire voters take over for–you can say it with me–the only poll that counts.
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