Hermine by Any Other Name…

It’s been about two weeks now that we’ve been talking about this same area of concern:  First it was “Invest 99L,” then it was “Tropical Depression Nine” and then it became “Tropical Storm Hermine,” and eventually made landfall along the Gulf Coast of Florida as “HURRICANE Hermine” (a Cat. 1) early Friday morning.  Now, this same system is losing it’s tropical characteristics, which is to say – it looks more like a “MLC” (mid-latitude cyclone) or a “nor’easter.”  Ahhh… a storm by any other name…  Hermine is now a, extra-tropical cyclone, but still has winds of tropical storm strength (and possibly even hurricane-force winds within the next 12-24 hours!)  Are you keeping track of all of this?  Well, Rob Eicher did a STELLER job of breaking all of this down in his weather blog earlier today.  You can read that here:  https://whdh.com/weather-blog/hermine-haunts-our-holiday/.  You know that Sandy was no longer a

Whatever you want to call her – Hermine will likely remain the topic of meteorological discussion through the next few days, and it’s bumming out Labor Day weekend plans for us here in Massachusetts.  While I write this blog, the storm is about 200 miles off the coast of North Carolina and tracking NE at about 18mph… cruising, really.  It would be great if she would just continue along that path and get outta here, but we know that’s just not gonna happen.  Eventually, Hermine will track closer to the coastline and slow to a CRAWL.  As Dylan Dreyer put it on Twitter:  Hermine is in a hurry to go nowhere FAST!  Here’s the most recent forecast from the National Hurricane Center:

Sunday, Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday roll by and we’re STILL tracking Hermine?!  How is this possible?  Well, you’ve probably heard it a million times by now, but an area of high pressure is to our north that’s just going to “block” Hermine from really going anywhere.  This storm is becoming less of a rain-maker and more of a wind storm.  Again, think “nor’easter” but without the snow.  Winds increase for us throughout the day tomorrow, especially along the South Coast, Cape and islands.  That’s why there is a Tropical Storm WATCH in effect for those areas, and a Tropical Storm WARNING for the waters off the South Coast of New England:

What’s the difference between the watch and warning?  A WATCH means we’re “watching out” – winds of tropical storm strength (39mph+) are POSSIBLE here.  A WARNING means winds of tropical storm strength are EXPECTED.  Unfortunately, I think the bottom line for the impact Hermine will have on OUR area is that it takes the “beach” and the “boating” out of the holiday-weekend-equation.  These strong winds will really be churning up the seas and could make things dangerous: rip currents, high surf… not something to sneeze at – unless your sneeze is of tropical storm force magnitude (winds 39mph+).  A bit of good news is that tides will be astronomically low through all of this action, so that takes the coastal-flooding/erosion impact for us down to “minor.”

Wind is the main issue for Sunday into Monday – Monday is the best chance for showers… maybe even lingering into Tuesday.  Again, not a big rain maker… maybe 0.50″ generally speaking, with 1-2″ possible for SE Mass.  Clouds and cool temps linger into Wednesday… maybe Thursday… is Hermine done with us YET?!  We’ll have to wait and see.  However, once she is finally out of here, it looks like summer makes a return with temps climbing into NEXT weekend.  – Breezy