Remember that scene from Dumb & Dumber? When Lloyd is talking to Mary, and he asks “What are my chances?” Mary responds, “Not good.” Lloyd says, “Like one out of a hundred?” Mary: “More like, one out of a million…” To which Lloyd responds, with a smile, “So you’re telling me there’s a chance!” I always think of this movie clip when we’re talking about rain/storm chances. It’s tricky… because like we saw today, it’s often times not just “rain or dry.” In my forecast last night I had a 10% chance for showers today (and 10% was even HIGH!). So, you’re looking at that thinking, “a 90% chance I won’t see any raindrops… so if I see any, I’m gonna grab my pitchfork and go on a witch hunt for that Bri-Eggers!” Understand, the “chances of rain” that we post in our forecasts are not just taking into account the probability of rain, but also COVERAGE AREA of said rain. For those who did get a quick sprinkle/shower – it was obviously a 100% chance of rain for you today, because you saw some drops. But think about the other 6.74 million people in the Commonwealth today that didn’t see a drop of rain. For them, it was a 0% chance… Following? We call them “POP’s,” or “probability of precipitation,” taking into account the probability that precipitation will occur, and the areal coverage area of measurable precipitation. Are you still reading this blog? Stay with me… I’m almost done with my rant. 
That’s all too much to explain in a 2 minute, 30 second weather-cast… so luckily we’re required to write these blogs, so I can rant on my soapbox via this keyboard for as long as I want! :c) Now, onto the forecast: Did you notice the drier air-mass today? Dewpoints dropped back off into the 50s, which is a “comfortable” amount of moisture in the air. We also had a nice refreshing breeze out of the WNW through the day, and the puffy cumulus clouds to make our afternoon look like a scene from the movie “Up” (I really love movies). 
We will keep the humidity “in check” heading through the next couple of days, for two days of what I like to call “comfortable warmth!” Well, I guess Tuesday might be a little more like “HOT” for some, as our highs will flirt with 90°. In any case, the “muggies” (why does that word rub me the wrong way?) are not in the picture for Monday or Tuesday. Highs tomorrow warm into the mid to upper 80s. Do you recall what I’ve said many times about “dewp’s?” First, recall that AIR TEMPERATURE is a gauge of how hot or cold it is, while DEWPOINTS are a gauge of how dry or humid it is. I do believe that 60° is a good threshold for dewpoints: any higher than 60° is sticky/muggy/humid, while any lower than 60° is comfortable/dry. Here’s your dewpoint trend for this week, and you can see where the moisture surges back into the forecast. 
Wednesday will also be our next chance for showers/storms. Right now, I have it as a 30% chance in my forecast… To me, this means “storms are likely but not all of us see them.” If you suffered through my “POP” rant from the first part of this blog, then you’ll understand that. Either way, we’ll need to keep an eye on this day for timing & strength of storms. Some of them could get a little wild.
Currently, for the month of August, our average temperature is right on par with “normal.” We started out cooler than average, and we’ve seen a few days warmer than average. I think we’ll continue to ride this wave, if you will, through the month of August. Temps will be up for a bit, and then down for a bit… but just around the corner is the potential for another heat wave. Thursday-Sunday I have 90s in my forecast… Enjoy the next two days, and then brace yourselves for the heat and humidity to come in a “stick” around for a bit. And when you feel like being mean to me on social media because you don’t like how hot it is, or your motorcycle ride was ruined by 5 drops of rain, then just remember: Let’s not rush summertime, because winter is coming. – Breezy