It took nearly two weeks but the clump of thunderstorms/tropical wave/tropical depression was finally upgraded to a tropical storm. This:
hot mess is Tropical Storm Hermine. She has winds around 45 mph (weak tropical storm) and is moving slowly northeast toward the Florida Panhandle tonight. Further strengthening is likely the next two days before making landfall in the Florida Panhandle very early Saturday Morning. From there she will essentially move up the I-95 corridor and weaken slowly before emerging off the Delmarva Peninsula midday Sunday. After that the forecast gets muddy. Shown here are various weather computer models that show different tracks—when they are clustered together we have high confidence in a forecast track…when they aren’t….we don’t…
This muddies the waters for New England late in the Holiday Weekend. The reason for the uncertainty is an area of High Pressure that will be draped across northern New York/New England this weekend (Shown Here):
Depending on just how strong that blue H is will determine Hermine’s role in our weather. As of this evening, it looks like a glancing blow of some showers Sunday Night-Monday (especially south of the Pike) and a bit of a breeze (northeast 15-25mph). I would keep plans intact based on that & just keep checking back with us the next few days….it is still entirely possible we don’t have any rain/wind from Hermine.
in the meantime, we have a cool front that slowly moves through New England late tonight & tomorrow with a bunch of clouds & a few scattered showers. Delightful weather is in New England Friday & Saturday (perhaps Sunday-Monday too!) with sunshine, low humidity & just a hint of fall in the air with temps in the low to mid 70s.
PS…IF Boston doesn’t pick up any rain before midnight, it will be the driest summer on record for the city….just 18-20 months after the snowiest winter on record. Unreal.