On this day 3 weeks ago, I wrote about the "omega" pattern and how it would bring us an extended period of cloudy, cool weather with off and on showers. Well, it turned out that the pattern shifted just far enough east that we ended up on the drier side (by a mere 15 miles) and skies cleared out after only a few days. Our luck may have run out this time…
It looks more and more likely that a very similar pattern will set up this week and this time we will be stuck on the gloomy side. Rain begins Sunday afternoon and there is at least a chance of rain for the next 7 days. That doesn’t mean it will rain non-stop for 7 straight days. I’m still hopeful that we can squeeze out some decent weather late Tuesday into most of Wednesday. But it does mean that there will be more clouds than sun this week and temperatures near the coast may never run above 60.
The big question is the same as it was 3 weeks ago…where will the cut-off low set up late in the week? Last time it was centered a few hundred miles to our east so the clouds were just barely off of the coast. This time it looks like it will be centered a few hundred miles to our south which means we will be stuck with a very persistent northeasterly wind. I probably don’t have to tell you that means it will be cooler than normal, especially near the coast. If the low sets up more to our west, we would see warmer weather, but that’s also an even wetter pattern, meaning the showers would be more frequent and heavier.
Bottom-line, there is still some uncertainty as the pattern is still evolving. So, I can’t tell you at this point that it will rain at exactly this time at exactly that location. All I can tell you at this point is that there is a chance of rain everyday this week…so my advice is to watch Chris, Jeremy and Bri throughout the week for the latest time-line. But that also means there is still some hope, especially for late week. In fact, a quick glance at the model data coming in this morning give me more hope. Fingers crossed!